betting on the world cup 2

June 2026

overall, probably a bit of money to be made, can make about 2-3% on some markets, but irregular and hard to find.

easiest market is to bet on the most liquid anytime goalscorer - yes on the sportsbook, no on polymarket. worked for taremi, haaland etc.

always have to bet on the yes outcome first just in case they score, lost a lot of money in one go with a limit order on no.

the implied probability follows a decaying line from its pre-match prob towards 0% at full-time : usual causes of increase include domination from one team, lots of shots on target, potential of extra time.